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American Pope, Transgender Ban, Trump's Spending Cuts & Sinking Cities

May 9, 2025

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Key Updates

Vatican Gets an American Accent: Pope Leo XIV Steps Onto a Complex World Stage

Well, the white smoke finally billowed. As reported yesterday, the College of Cardinals was deep in conclave following the death of Pope Francis, and today they’ve made their pick: Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost of the United States, now known as Pope Leo XIV. This is a fairly big deal, historically speaking – he's the first American to ever don the papal tiara. The election wrapped on the second day, which is reasonably quick, suggesting either a strong consensus candidate emerged or one faction managed to consolidate support effectively.

The immediate buzz, beyond the novelty of an American Pope, is how Leo XIV will navigate the global landscape, particularly his relationship with the Trump administration. Reports indicate Prevost (as he was then) has been critical of some Trump policies in the past, notably clashing with figures like Senator JD Vance over immigration. This sets up a potentially fascinating dynamic between Washington D.C. and Vatican City. Some see his election as a continuation of Pope Francis's emphasis on social justice and global engagement, while others are bracing for, or perhaps hoping for, shifts in Church doctrine or emphasis. President Trump did offer congratulations, but the subtext of past criticisms will linger. Oh, and apparently there's already a minor kerfuffle about which baseball team he supports and the authenticity of a social media account attributed to him – the modern papacy, folks.

Analytical Take: The selection of an American Pope is less about American dominance and more likely a reflection of the Church's evolving demographics and the desire for a leader perceived as capable of engaging with a complex, often secularized, Western world. Leo XIV's known critiques of nationalist policies might signal a papacy keen on championing global solidarity and migrant rights, potentially putting him on a collision course with populist movements worldwide, not just in the US. His ability to unify a Church grappling with internal divisions, particularly between conservative and progressive wings, will be his first major test. The "honeymoon" period will be short, and his initial appointments and encyclicals will be heavily scrutinized for direction.

Trump Administration Reinstates Transgender Troop Ban: Pentagon Moves to Implement

The Trump administration isn't wasting any time rolling back previous policies. Following a Supreme Court ruling that gave the green light, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has issued internal instructions to the Pentagon to begin removing transgender troops from service. This formalizes the executive order President Trump issued back in January 2025.

Active-duty transgender service members are being given a 30-day window to voluntarily separate from the military. If they don't, they face involuntary separation. Reserve members get a slightly longer, 60-day window. This move reverses the Biden administration's policy that allowed transgender individuals to serve openly. LGBTQ+ rights advocates are, predictably, condemning the decision as discriminatory and detrimental to military readiness, arguing it targets a group of willing and capable service members. The administration's justification, historically, has revolved around unit cohesion and medical costs, though these points are heavily contested.

Analytical Take: This is a clear "base-pleasing" move for the Trump administration, fulfilling a promise to socially conservative voters. The speed of implementation suggests it was a priority. Beyond the immediate impact on transgender service members, this policy shift signals a broader ideological alignment within the Pentagon's civilian leadership. The "military readiness" argument often deployed by proponents of such bans is usually a fig leaf for social agenda-setting; actual impact on readiness from including transgender personnel has been shown by multiple studies to be negligible. Expect legal challenges to continue, focusing on equal protection and due process, though the recent Supreme Court nod makes an immediate reversal unlikely. This will also likely become a recruiting and retention talking point for both sides of the political spectrum.

Immigration Whiplash: Courts Challenge Trump's Deportation and Parole Policies

The Trump administration's aggressive stance on immigration is hitting some judicial roadblocks. Federal judges are pushing back on key policies, particularly concerning deportations to third countries and the termination of the CHNV (Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, Venezuelans) humanitarian parole program. Yesterday, we noted deportations were an ongoing Trump policy initiative, and today we see the pushback.

Specifically, Judge Brian E. Murphy has ruled that migrants cannot be deported to countries other than their homeland (like Libya, which has been floated) without a "meaningful opportunity" to argue in court that such a move would jeopardize their safety. This came after an earlier ruling in March with similar effect. Separately, Judge Indira Talwani halted the administration's attempt to terminate the CHNV program, which provided temporary protection from deportation to over 532,000 individuals. The Department of Homeland Security, under Secretary Kristi Noem, had given beneficiaries 30 days to leave the U.S. or face arrest back in March. The administration is now appealing to the Supreme Court to regain the authority to end the CHNV program.

Analytical Take: This is a classic separation-of-powers battleground. The administration is testing the limits of executive authority on immigration, while the judiciary is asserting its role in protecting due process and statutory interpretation. The "deportation to third countries" issue, especially to places with questionable human rights records like Libya, is particularly fraught and raises significant international law concerns. The administration's argument likely centers on national sovereignty and deterring illegal immigration, while opponents focus on humanitarian obligations and legal precedents. The Supreme Court's eventual decision on the CHNV program will be pivotal, setting a precedent for the scope of executive power in immigration parole. This is less about border security and more about fundamentally reshaping who gets to be in the US and under what terms.

The Great Unfunding: Trump Admin Slashes Federal Spending, Citing Waste and Ideology

The Trump administration is taking a fiscal axe to a wide range of federal programs, justifying the cuts by citing concerns over antisemitism, fraud, wasteful spending, and "divisive" Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) initiatives. This follows the general theme of budget cuts mentioned in yesterday's context.

Harvard University is a prime example, facing a staggering $2.2 billion cut in federal grants and contracts, with the National Institutes of Health (NIH) specifically citing the university's alleged failure to curb antisemitism and race discrimination. The NIH's "Safe to Sleep" campaign, aimed at reducing infant mortality, has reportedly been shut down. DEI programs across multiple federal agencies are also on the chopping block. Even children's programming isn't spared, with the Ready To Learn grant for PBS shows being canceled. Critics are sounding the alarm, arguing these cuts will cripple essential scientific research, harm educational programs, and disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. Legal challenges are expected.

Analytical Take: While fiscal prudence is a common government talking point, the pattern of these cuts suggests a strong ideological component. Targeting institutions like Harvard and DEI programs aligns with a broader conservative pushback against what they perceive as "woke" agendas in academia and government. The linking of funding to specific behavioral changes (like combating antisemitism at Harvard) is a powerful lever, but also risks politicizing research and education funding to an unprecedented degree. The "wasteful spending" argument is often a convenient cover for defunding programs opposed on ideological grounds. Expect significant disruption in affected sectors and a brain drain if research funding, in particular, becomes unreliable or politically conditioned. This isn't just about saving money; it's about reshaping national priorities and the role of the federal government.

Political Tremors in DC: US Attorney Shuffle, Librarian Fired, Surgeon General Nominee Stirs Debate

A series of personnel moves by President Trump are sending ripples through Washington, signaling a clear intent to reshape key government posts with loyalists and figures aligned with his agenda. First, Ed Martin's nomination for US Attorney for the District of Columbia was withdrawn following bipartisan opposition, notably from Senator Thom Tillis, due to Martin's ties to January 6th rioters and controversial statements. Instead of finding a more consensus pick, Trump promptly appointed Fox News host Jeanine Pirro as interim US Attorney for D.C. Martin isn't entirely out; he's reportedly taking a role within the Department of Justice focusing on the "weaponization of government."

Then, in a move that drew swift condemnation from Democratic leaders like Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer, Trump fired Librarian of Congress Carla Hayden via email. Hayden, the first woman and first Black person to hold the post, was appointed by President Obama. Critics accuse Trump of targeting her over perceived diversity initiatives and undermining the Library's mission, following complaints from conservative groups about "leftist agendas." The White House hasn't offered an official reason.

Finally, Trump nominated Dr. Casey Means, a holistic medicine doctor and wellness influencer, as Surgeon General. This came after withdrawing his previous nominee, Dr. Janette Nesheiwat. Means's nomination is controversial due to her perceived alignment with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s views, particularly on vaccines, and questions about her qualifications for such a mainstream public health role. The move is framed as part of Trump's "Make America Healthy Again" (MAHA) agenda.

Analytical Take: These moves, taken together, paint a picture of an administration aggressively installing individuals who reflect its ideological leanings, sometimes at the expense of traditional qualifications or bipartisan comity. Appointing a TV host like Pirro to a critical prosecutorial role like US Attorney for D.C. (which handles many politically sensitive cases) is a bold, if not brazen, assertion of executive prerogative. Firing the Librarian of Congress, a traditionally non-partisan role, suggests no position is safe from political recalibration. Dr. Means's nomination for Surgeon General signals a potential shift away from established public health orthodoxy towards more alternative approaches, which will undoubtedly face intense scrutiny during confirmation. This is less about filling vacancies and more about a systematic overhaul of institutional leadership to align with the President's vision, consequences be damned.

NY AG Letitia James Under Federal Scrutiny: DOJ Launches Mortgage Fraud Probe

New York Attorney General Letitia James, who famously pursued and won a massive civil fraud case against Donald Trump and his organization (resulting in a $364 million judgment in February 2024), now finds herself the subject of a federal criminal investigation. The FBI and Department of Justice have reportedly opened a probe into James for alleged mortgage fraud related to property purchases in Virginia and Brooklyn.

The investigation was triggered by a criminal referral from William Pulte, the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Unsurprisingly, James's legal team, led by Abbe Lowell, is vehemently denying the allegations, dismissing them as baseless and politically motivated – a "revenge tour" orchestrated by Trump. The core of the allegations seems to be that James misrepresented information on loan applications.

Analytical Take: The timing and source of this investigation are, to put it mildly, politically charged. While mortgage fraud is a serious allegation, investigating a high-profile prosecutor who successfully took on the sitting President's business empire inevitably invites accusations of retaliation. Pulte's role as the FHFA Director making the referral will be scrutinized for any political connections or motivations. This development throws gasoline on the already raging fire of perceived politicization of the justice system. Whether the allegations have merit or not, the investigation itself will be a significant distraction for James and a talking point for Trump allies. It’s a high-stakes game of legal and political chess, and the credibility of the DOJ will be on the line depending on how this investigation proceeds and concludes.

US-UK Trade Deal Inked, China Talks Loom: Trump Reshapes Commerce Landscape

President Trump announced a new trade deal with the United Kingdom, the first significant bilateral agreement since his administration imposed widespread tariffs earlier this year. The deal involves lowering some U.S. tariffs on UK goods, particularly automobiles, while a 10% baseline tariff on UK goods apparently remains. In return, the U.S. is expected to gain increased access to the UK agricultural market. This development, reported yesterday as an ongoing Trump policy initiative, saw stock markets react positively.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Jamieson Greer are reportedly en route to Switzerland for meetings with Chinese economic officials. This follows a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs announced in April for most countries, except China. The UK deal is being watched closely as a potential template, or perhaps a strategic maneuver, in the lead-up to these more critical talks with Beijing. There's some debate whether this UK deal is a comprehensive agreement or more of a framework for future negotiations.

Analytical Take: The UK deal, while symbolically important for post-Brexit Britain and the Trump administration's "America First" trade posture, is likely a smaller piece of a much larger geopolitical puzzle. The real main event is China. This UK agreement might be intended to show other allies (and adversaries) that the U.S. is willing to make deals, but likely on its own terms. The key question is whether this "mini-deal" approach, potentially with concessions on both sides for specific sectors, can be scaled up for a complex relationship like US-China. Concerns persist about the long-term impact on U.S. industries, even with targeted deals. The fact that a baseline tariff on UK goods remains suggests Trump's fundamental preference for tariffs as a tool isn't going away. Expect the China talks to be incredibly tough, with this UK deal used as either a carrot or a stick.

Antisemitism Surges: Campus Unrest, Hate Crimes Escalate Tensions

A disturbing series of antisemitic incidents, frequently linked to anti-Israel protests, are causing significant alarm and prompting legal action, particularly in New York City and Philadelphia. This is an escalation of the campus unrest noted in yesterday's coverage of Columbia University. Tarek Bazrouk is now facing federal hate crime charges for allegedly assaulting Jewish individuals during anti-Israel protests. Columbia University remains a flashpoint, dealing with the aftermath of anti-Israel agitators storming and occupying Butler Library on May 7th, which led to over 80 arrests. Similar clashes occurred at Brooklyn College during an attempted encampment by pro-Palestinian activists.

Adding to the volatile mix, an incident at a Barstool Sports bar in Philadelphia, where an antisemitic sign reading "F--- the Jews" appeared, has led to the suspension of two Temple University students and a very public, heated dispute between Barstool founder Dave Portnoy and one of the accused students, Mo Khan. These events are happening against a backdrop of what many sources describe as a significant rise in antisemitism since the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.

Analytical Take: The conflation of anti-Israel sentiment with outright antisemitism is a dangerous and increasingly visible trend. While criticism of Israeli government policy is legitimate, the reported incidents – physical assaults, hateful signage, and targeted harassment – cross a clear line into bigotry. University administrations are caught in a vise, trying to balance free speech rights with the need to ensure campus safety and combat hate speech, often fumbling the response. The Bazrouk arrest signals that federal authorities are taking these incidents seriously as potential hate crimes. The Barstool incident, amplified by social media, highlights how quickly these situations can escalate and the complexities of assigning responsibility in a viral environment. This is more than just student activism; it's a symptom of deeper societal divisions and a worrying resurgence of an ancient hatred. Expect continued legal and political fallout, and more intense debates about how to define and combat antisemitism without chilling legitimate political discourse.

Rising Tides, Sinking Cities: Groundwater Depletion Threatens Urban America

Shifting from the political to the geological, a new study published in Nature Cities has some sobering news: many major U.S. cities are literally sinking, a phenomenon known as land subsidence. The primary culprit identified is the over-extraction of groundwater. This isn't just an interesting quirk; it poses a significant and growing threat to urban infrastructure, increasing the risk of flooding (especially in coastal areas already dealing with sea-level rise) and structural damage to buildings, roads, and bridges.

The study, led by researchers at Virginia Tech's Earth Observation and Innovation Lab, including Leonard Ohenhen and Manoochehr Shirzaei, looked at 28 major U.S. cities. While Houston takes the unfortunate title of the fastest-sinking city examined, other major hubs like New York, Dallas, and Chicago are also experiencing notable subsidence. This impacts millions of residents and carries hefty economic implications for repair and mitigation.

Analytical Take: This is one of those slow-motion crises that often gets drowned out by daily political noise but has enormous long-term consequences. The link to groundwater extraction is critical because it points to human activity as the driver, and thus, potentially, to human solutions (though they won't be easy or cheap). The problem is compounded in coastal cities facing rising sea levels – it's a double whammy. This study should be a massive wake-up call for urban planners, engineers, and policymakers. Ignoring subsidence means risking catastrophic infrastructure failures and ballooning future costs. The challenge will be implementing sustainable water management practices and investing in resilient infrastructure, which requires political will and significant upfront investment – two things often in short supply.

Also on the Radar

Fetterman Under Fire: Health, Temper, and Political Shifts Fuel Scrutiny

Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania is facing a fresh wave of scrutiny concerning his health and fitness for office. This follows reports of an alleged outburst during a meeting with the Pennsylvania State Education Association (PSEA) and a New York Magazine article detailing concerns from former and current staffers about his mental health and behavior. Fetterman, who suffered a stroke in 2022 and was treated for depression in 2023, dismisses these as politically motivated "hit pieces" from disgruntled individuals, with former staffer Adam Jentleson being a named source of criticism. Adding to the heat, Fetterman's perceived shift towards cooperating with Donald Trump on some issues and his staunch support for Israel are drawing criticism, particularly from within the Democratic party.

Analytical Take: Fetterman's health has been a recurring theme since his stroke, and navigating public office post-recovery is undoubtedly challenging. The line between legitimate concern for a senator's capacity and political opportunism is often blurry. His policy shifts, particularly on Israel and a willingness to engage with Trump, are genuinely irking parts of his progressive base and some Democratic colleagues. This creates an opening for opponents both within and outside his party to amplify any perceived missteps. The "disgruntled former staffer" narrative is standard political damage control, but the volume of concerns suggests there's likely some fire amidst the smoke.

Shedeur Sanders' Draft Tumble: From High Hopes to Browns' QB Room

Once touted as a potential high NFL draft pick, quarterback Shedeur Sanders experienced a notable slide, eventually landing with the Cleveland Browns in the fifth round (144th overall). Analysts are pointing to a mix of factors: concerns about his raw talent translating to the NFL, the outsized influence of his father, Deion Sanders, and a perception of arrogance or an over-focus on his personal brand. Even Donald Trump weighed in with public support during the draft, which probably didn't help with some segments of NFL fandom or front offices. Now, Shedeur faces a crowded quarterback room in Cleveland, which also drafted Dillon Gabriel in the 3rd round, and a tough path to a starting role.

Analytical Take: The NFL draft is a brutal meritocracy, but perception and off-field factors absolutely play a role. Shedeur's situation seems to be a confluence of on-field questions (level of competition faced, consistency) and the "Prime Time" circus that often surrounds Deion. NFL teams can be wary of players whose family members are overly involved or who seem more interested in branding than ball. Landing in the fifth round is a reality check; now it's about whether he can prove the doubters wrong in a less-than-ideal situation. The Browns might see him as a developmental prospect with upside, but the pressure will be immense.

Culture Clashes: Transgender Athletes, Adoption Debates Simmer

The culture wars continue to flare up. A House DOGE Subcommittee hearing on "Unfair Play: Keeping Men Out of Women’s Sports" (referring to transgender women) predictably devolved into contentious exchanges. Witnesses like Stephanie Turner and Payton McNabb testified about their experiences, while Rep. Jasmine Crockett made remarks that stirred controversy, and Rep. Lateefah Simon suggested protecting women's sports could lead to racial segregation – a rather... creative leap. This follows President Trump's February executive order barring biological males from competing as women. Separately, an ESPN panelist, Kate Fagan, used her final appearance on "Around the Horn" (before the show's cancellation) to advocate for trans kids' participation in sports. And in a different vein, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg's discussion of transracial adoption has sparked a debate, with some adoptees sharing experiences of racial identity challenges within White families.

Analytical Take: These aren't new debates, but they remain potent political and social fault lines. The transgender athletes issue is particularly intractable, pitting arguments about fairness and biological advantage against inclusion and identity. The politicization is intense, often overshadowing nuanced discussion. Buttigieg wading into transracial adoption, while perhaps well-intentioned, touches on complex identity issues that are deeply personal and vary widely by individual experience; it's a minefield for public figures.

Biden Hits the Trail: Post-Presidency Legacy Tour and 2024 Reflections

Former President Joe Biden, alongside Jill Biden, is on a media tour, including an appearance on 'The View' on May 8th. The goal seems to be twofold: defending his presidential legacy and addressing lingering concerns about his cognitive abilities, which were a recurring theme leading up to and following the 2024 election where Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris. Biden attributes Harris's loss significantly to sexism and racism, while other analyses point to a variety of factors. Several books critical of his administration are also reportedly in the works. This follows his exit from the 2024 race in July 2024 after a widely panned debate performance.

Analytical Take: This is pretty standard for ex-presidents – trying to shape their historical narrative. Biden's focus on sexism and racism as primary drivers for Harris's loss is an attempt to frame the defeat in a way that deflects from policy shortcomings or campaign missteps of the Democratic ticket. It also plays to a key Democratic constituency. The cognitive concerns, however, are harder to simply dismiss with a media tour; public perception on that front is likely fairly baked in for many. This tour is as much about internal Democratic Party soul-searching as it is about public image rehabilitation.

Knicks Stun Celtics: Up 2-0 After Boston Blows Another Big Lead

In the NBA playoffs, the New York Knicks have pulled off a shocker, taking a 2-0 series lead over the defending champion Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Semifinals – winning both games in Boston. The Celtics managed to blow 20-point leads in both contests, a feat of late-game collapse marked by poor shooting and execution. Mikal Bridges has been a defensive hero for the Knicks, making key plays to seal both wins, while Jalen Brunson delivered crucial points in Game 2. Adding a bit of spice, former Celtic Paul Pierce made good on his bet to walk to the Fox studio after predicting a Celtics win in Game 2, only to see them lose 91-90. Game 3 heads to Madison Square Garden.

Analytical Take: This is a massive momentum swing. For the Knicks, it's a franchise-galvanizing moment. For the Celtics, it's a five-alarm fire. Blowing two 20-point leads at home in the playoffs points to systemic issues, whether coaching, player mentality, or late-game strategy. The pressure now shifts massively to Boston as the series moves to the notoriously tough environment of MSG. While a 2-0 lead isn't insurmountable, the way the Knicks won these games has to be psychologically damaging for the Celtics.

Symbolism Corner: Melania Trump Unveils Bush Stamp, MTG Wants to Rename a Gulf

A couple of lower-stakes items from the political periphery: First Lady Melania Trump unveiled a commemorative stamp honoring former First Lady Barbara Bush at the White House, also participating in a Mother's Day event with President Trump focused on military mothers. Notably absent from the stamp unveiling were former President George W. Bush and Laura Bush, perhaps a quiet nod to lingering political frostiness. Separately, the House of Representatives, on a nearly party-line 211-206 vote, passed a bill sponsored by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to officially rename the Gulf of Mexico as the 'Gulf of America.' This codifies a previous executive order by President Trump. The bill now heads to the Senate, amid criticism that it's a symbolic, costly distraction.

Analytical Take: The Barbara Bush stamp event is standard First Lady fare, though the Bush family's absence is the most telling detail, speaking volumes about the state of intra-party relations within the GOP. As for the Gulf of Mexico renaming... well, it's peak MTG. It achieves little of substance, costs taxpayer money to implement (new maps, signage, etc.), and serves primarily as red meat for a certain political base. Its chances in the Senate are debatable, but its passage in the House is a testament to current political priorities for some.

Power, Predators, and Payoffs: High-Profile #MeToo Era Cases Continue

The legal battles surrounding powerful figures accused of sexual misconduct are far from over. Sean 'Diddy' Combs' sex trafficking trial is looming, alongside over 60 civil lawsuits alleging sexual assault and other offenses. He's not alone in the spotlight: Smokey Robinson is being sued for sexual assault. Harvey Weinstein, whose original conviction was overturned, is still facing sex crime charges. A sexual harassment case involves Blake Lively and Justin Baldoni. And the Alexander brothers are facing sex trafficking charges, with their trial set for January 2026.

Analytical Take: These cases underscore that the #MeToo movement, while perhaps not as dominant in headlines as a few years ago, continues to have very real legal reverberations. The sheer number of allegations against figures like Combs is staggering. The cases highlight the enduring issues of power dynamics in industries like entertainment and business, and the immense challenges victims face in coming forward and seeking justice. The overturning of Weinstein's initial conviction also shows the legal complexities and the high bar for securing and maintaining convictions in such cases. Expect these to drag on, with more revelations and intense public scrutiny.

Air Traffic Control Overhaul Proposed Amid Safety Concerns

Following a string of concerning aviation incidents, including a mid-air collision near Reagan National Airport in January that killed 67 and a communications outage at Newark Liberty International Airport in April, the Trump administration is proposing a multi-billion dollar overhaul of the U.S. air traffic control (ATC) system. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy unveiled the plan, aiming to replace antiquated technology with modern systems and address critical staffing shortages by 2028. Airline executives are reportedly supportive, but the initiative faces potential funding battles and partisan finger-pointing over the previous administration's handling of the FAA.

Analytical Take: This is long overdue. The U.S. ATC system has been running on outdated tech for decades, a fact well-known within the aviation industry. The recent safety incidents have simply brought the issue to a crisis point, forcing action. The 2028 timeline is ambitious for a project of this scale and complexity, and securing consistent multi-year funding will be a major hurdle, especially in the current political climate. Expect debates over cost, implementation strategy, and which technologies to adopt. While necessary, this will be a heavy lift.

American Pope, Transgender Ban, Trump's Spending Cuts & Sinking Cities | The Updates