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Trump, Minnesota, Supreme Court, and Winter Storms

January 21, 2026

Table of Contents

Key Updates

Minnesota Becomes Ground Zero for Federal-State Showdown

The situation in Minneapolis/St. Paul, which we flagged yesterday as escalating, has now officially boiled over into a multi-front conflict between the Trump administration and Minnesota's Democratic leadership. This isn't just about immigration policy anymore; it's a full-blown constitutional stress test.

Following the fatal shooting of Renee Good by an agent earlier this month, the administration has doubled down with an enforcement surge targeting "criminal illegal aliens." This has been met with predictable local opposition and protests. The new development is the legal pincer movement the just initiated. First, they've slapped subpoenas on Governor Tim Walz, Mayor Jacob Frey, and other Democrats, investigating them for potentially obstructing federal law enforcement. This is a direct shot across the bow, challenging the authority of state and local officials who defy federal directives.

Simultaneously, the is investigating anti-ICE protesters who disrupted a service at Cities Church in St. Paul. They're exploring the use of the Act and the Ku Klux Klan Act—laws historically used to protect access to abortion clinics and combat white supremacist violence—to prosecute left-wing protesters. The irony is thick enough to skate on. This move serves to reframe the protesters not as activists, but as criminals infringing on religious freedom, a narrative enthusiastically promoted by figures like Governor Kristi Noem.

Analytical Take: This is a textbook case of asymmetric political warfare. The administration is using the full, and arguably creative, extent of federal law enforcement power to crush local political opposition. By launching parallel investigations into both the Democratic leadership (for obstruction) and the activist base (for the church protest), they are isolating and pressuring their opponents from two directions. This isn't just about enforcing immigration law; it's about making an example of Minnesota to deter other blue states from resisting the federal agenda. The narrative is being skillfully shifted from a controversial federal shooting to one of local corruption and anti-religious extremist protesters.

Trump's World Remodeling Project: Greenland, the , and Davos

President Trump's quest to acquire Greenland, which we noted yesterday had prompted tariff threats, is now the centerpiece of a much broader foreign policy gambit. He's at the World Economic Forum in Davos, not to mingle, but to project strength and lay the groundwork for a new international order. The tariff threats against European nations opposing his Greenland ambitions are still on the table, a clear signal that he views traditional alliances as entirely transactional. Denmark, for its part, is reinforcing its military presence in Greenland, turning a diplomatic spat into a low-key military standoff within .

The more interesting development is the "Board of Peace" initiative for Gaza, which is being floated as a potential replacement for the . This is classic Trump: identify a failing institution, declare it obsolete, and propose a new, branded entity that he controls. Getting a reluctant Emmanuel Macron on board was likely achieved through the leverage of those same tariff threats. It’s a microcosm of his entire approach: use economic muscle to force compliance and build parallel structures that bypass the old, slow, multilateral system.

Analytical Take: Don't mistake the Greenland affair for a whimsical real estate obsession. It's the physical manifestation of a strategic doctrine aimed at securing Arctic resources and shipping lanes while simultaneously fracturing the post- alliance structure. The "Board of Peace" is the institutional component of that doctrine. By creating an alternative to the Security Council, even for a single issue, he road-tests a model where US-led coalitions of the "willing" (or coerced) replace broad international consensus. This is an attempt to dismantle the old world order and rebuild it with bilateral deals and ad-hoc alliances centered on American interests, as defined by him.

The Supreme Court Becomes the Arena for America's Core Conflicts

The Supreme Court is currently the main event, hearing a slate of cases that cut to the heart of America's most intractable political battles. Yesterday, we noted Trump's ongoing war on institutional independence, and today, that fight arrives at the high court. The Justices are set to consider his attempt to remove Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board, a move that directly challenges the Fed's autonomy. This isn't just a personnel dispute; it's a test of whether a president can fire board members for what appears to be political disagreement, potentially gutting the independence that underpins the central bank's credibility.

On another front, the court seems highly skeptical of Hawaii's law limiting guns on private property, a predictable posture following its 2022 Bruen decision that significantly expanded Second Amendment rights. And just to round out the docket, California Republicans have filed an emergency request to block the state's new congressional districts, arguing the redistricting process under Proposition 50 was an illegal partisan gerrymander.

Analytical Take: The political branches are gridlocked and polarized, so they're punting their biggest fights to the judicial branch. The Supreme Court is no longer just an arbiter of law; it's the primary battlefield for foundational questions of power. The Cook case will determine the future of the administrative state's independence. The Hawaii gun case will further define the boundaries of the Second Amendment in a post-Bruen world. The California redistricting case is a proxy war over who gets to draw the maps that determine control of Congress. The Court's rulings on these issues will have more impact on the country's trajectory than most legislation.

The Minnesota Effect: Political Tremors Hit New York City

The shockwaves from the Renee Good shooting in Minneapolis are being felt a thousand miles away. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, already navigating a cascade of crises we touched on yesterday, stepped onto national television and called for the abolition of . This is a significant radicalization of the mainstream Democratic position, directly fueled by the events in Minnesota.

Of course, this move immediately exposed him to intense criticism, not just for the policy position itself but for the controversial social media histories of his own appointees, like Cea Weaver and Afua Atta-Mensah. This gives his political opponents a perfect opening to paint him and his administration as extremist and out of touch, linking his "abolish " rhetoric to the more inflammatory statements of his staff.

Analytical Take: Mayor Mamdani is caught between his progressive base, which demands a forceful response to the administration's immigration policies, and the political reality of governing a city with myriad problems. His call to abolish energizes his supporters but alienates moderates and gives his critics a powerful weapon. It shows how a single, volatile event in one state can force politicians in another to take positions that carry significant political risk. For the Trump administration, this is an unearned win; they can now point to the mayor of America's largest city to "prove" that the Democratic party is beholden to a radical, open-borders agenda.

A Tale of Two Storms: America Gets Hit with Ice and Arctic Cold

On a more elemental note, a massive winter storm system is creating chaos across a huge portion of the country. The South, from Texas to the Carolinas, is bracing for what forecasters are calling a "potentially catastrophic" ice storm. This is the worst-case scenario for a region whose infrastructure isn't built to handle significant ice accumulation, raising the prospect of widespread, long-lasting power outages.

Meanwhile, the Midwest and Northeast are locked in a deep freeze, with an arctic blast bringing record-low temperatures. The danger here is acute, highlighted by a massive 100-plus vehicle pileup in Michigan caused by lake-effect snow. Combined, these two systems are causing severe travel disruptions and posing a significant threat to public safety for tens of millions of people.

Analytical Take: These events serve as a brutal, recurring reminder of the fragility of our infrastructure. An ice storm in the South can be far more devastating than a blizzard in the North simply because the power grids, trees, and homes are not hardened for that specific type of stress. The economic impact from lost productivity, travel cancellations, and supply chain disruptions will be significant. It's a high-impact, low-politics story (for now), but one that directly affects more people's daily lives than any political squabble in Washington.

The Campus Culture Wars Go to Court

The ideological battles simmering in academia are moving from faculty lounges to courtrooms. We're seeing a pattern of conservative groups using legal challenges to fight what they see as "woke" indoctrination. The 1776 Project Foundation is suing the Los Angeles Unified School District over its desegregation policies, framing them not as tools for equity but as discriminatory. In New York, the Native American Guardian's Association () is suing to overturn a ban on Native American mascots, arguing the ban itself is discriminatory—a fascinating inversion of the usual argument.

This legal pushback is happening alongside media outrage over university curricula, such as a "Decolonizing Medicine" course at the University of Maryland and a mandatory "Multicultural Counseling" course at Brooklyn College.

Analytical Take: The culture war is entering a new, more litigious phase. Instead of just debating these issues in the media, activist groups are now using the courts to force the issue, seeking legal precedents that could dismantle diversity, equity, and inclusion () initiatives on a wider scale. The mascot lawsuit is particularly clever, co-opting the language of anti-discrimination to defend a practice widely seen as discriminatory. These are test cases designed to chip away at the institutionalization of progressive social theory in education.

In the world of sports, the Indiana Hoosiers pulled off an improbable 16-0 season, winning their first-ever college football national championship by defeating the Miami Hurricanes 27-21. President Trump was in attendance, adding a political gloss to the underdog story. In the , coaching musical chairs saw John Harbaugh land the New York Giants job, reportedly helped by an endorsement from Trump, while Robert Saleh is heading to the Tennessee Titans. And in baseball, the Hall of Fame welcomed Andruw Jones and Carlos Beltrán, with Beltrán's election immediately reigniting the debate over how to judge players implicated in major cheating scandals, like the Houston Astros' sign-stealing operation.

Analytical Take: The Trump endorsement for Harbaugh is a small but telling example of how his influence permeates every corner of American culture, turning even an coaching hire into a political litmus test. Beltrán's induction into Cooperstown suggests that voters are increasingly willing to forgive sign-stealing, a stark contrast to their hard line on performance-enhancing drugs. It seems that, in baseball's moral universe, chemically engineering your body is a cardinal sin, while electronically stealing signs is a misdemeanor you can serve your time for and still be forgiven.

Trump, Minnesota, Supreme Court, and Winter Storms | The Updates